Gungnir

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

Price

$499.99

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

77.04%

2,122 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

141 openings · below min

7 days

73.53%±4.641,837 openings

30 days

77.04%±4.392,122 openings

since tracking started

77.04%±4.392,122 openings

68.0%94.8%121.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	141	96.29%±24.4	—	sample
7d	1,837	73.53%±4.64	—	sample
30d	2,122	77.04%±4.39	—	sample
All	2,122	77.04%±4.39	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogFarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contrabandGoofball$500$5,69411.39x5h

M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contrabandSky$500$5,60711.21x21h

AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertsnav$500$5,44810.90x2d

M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contrabandmyll$500$4,9339.87x4d

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedrphorgedxq$500$2,9795.96x2d

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedPaulyy$500$2,9255.85x3d

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified尺ㄖ匚Ҝ乇ㄒ爪卂几$500$2,9075.82x4d

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedHahtis$500$2,8955.79x6d

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedKekkis$500$2,8395.68x6d

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedGarge$500$2,8395.68x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertDouble Tap$500$1500.30x5m

★ Gut Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covertDouble Tap$500$1060.21x5m

★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryDouble Tap$500$4050.81x5m

★ Gut Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covertDouble Tap$500$75.250.15x5m

M4A1-S | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covertDouble Tap$500$1700.34x6m

AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedMr. Älä Huoli Siit$500$1860.37x3h

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryMr. Älä Huoli Siit$500$1270.25x3h

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendaryMr. Älä Huoli Siit$500$4380.88x3h

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryMr. Älä Huoli Siit$500$1,2852.57x3h

★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertGoofball$500$1500.30x5h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,694 (11.39x)