Sentinel

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

Price

$0.89

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

86.35%

8,385 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

692 openings · below min

7 days

85.82%±3.176,905 openings

30 days

86.35%±2.938,385 openings

since tracking started

86.35%±2.938,385 openings

74.0%87.0%100.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	692	86.95%±12.3	—	sample
7d	6,905	85.82%±3.17	—	sample
30d	8,385	86.35%±2.93	—	sample
All	8,385	86.35%±2.93	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogFarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecdarrell$0.89$0.230.26x17m

Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)weapon · violet꧁༒☬YahYeet☬༒꧂$0.89$0.470.53x17m

FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specNaskikiki$0.89$0.750.84x17m

Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffArsenic(As)$0.89$0.270.30x31m

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedArsenic(As)$0.89$0.550.62x31m

AK-47 | Wintergreen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueArsenic(As)$0.89$0.470.53x31m

M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ffk1lljoy$0.89$1.621.82x46m

M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetFarmskins.com$0.89$0.630.71x46m

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)weapon · Rareツ$0.89$0.260.29x46m

AK-47 | Wintergreen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · bluePio$0.89$0.470.53x46m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —