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The Monster

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

Price
$2.50
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
22.21%
638 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
92 openings · below min
7 days
471 openings · below min
30 days
638 openings · below min
since tracking started
638 openings · below min
20.0%22.3%24.5%

Small sample. 638 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9222.26%±1.36—sample
7d47122.06%±0.53—sample
30d63822.21%±0.46—sample
All63822.21%±0.46—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogFarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythicalaldin-$2.50$0.610.24x
P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareMiniMatylda$2.50$0.410.16x
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn)weapon · violetWestian$2.50$0.450.18x
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn)weapon · violetmarioleank$2.50$0.450.18x
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn)weapon · violetTeo22$2.50$0.450.18x
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetzajka$2.50$0.420.17x
P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareCashew$2.50$0.410.16x
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalWesleynator je jméno mé$2.50$0.800.32x
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)weapon · Rare❆ Terex$2.50$0.550.22x
USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specTheRiisi$2.50$0.650.26x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —