Gwizdakk
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$45.00
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $39.97 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.52%
1,799 openings, odds method
Variance
4.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,811 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1011922, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $45.00 | 88.82% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 5.3%covert 2.4%#d32ee6 0.3%sunny 0.4%#ffd700 0.6%extraordinary 3.1%restricted 13.1%red 1.8%gold 1.9%violet 2.0%Restricted 14.3%#4b69ff 54.8%best hit $1,329 (29.54x)