CZ75
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$3.40
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $3.02 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.86%
12.2K openings, odds method
Variance
6.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/104, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.40 | 88.88% | 63 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 11.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%mil spec 5.3%#d32ee6 0.3%#4b69ff 49.5%classified 4.4%Legendary 0.5%#d32ce6 0.5%Mythical 0.8%#8847ff 12.7%Restricted 2.5%#87c7ff 0.8%light blue 1.0%#777777 1.3%violet 1.4%Rare 7.8%best hit $523 (153.7x)