COLDZERA
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.98%
EV $8.90 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.02%
1,772 openings, odds method
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,772 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1071981, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.98% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.4%#ffd700 0.1%covert knife 0.4%extraordinary 0.1%classified 12.5%Ancient 1.1%pink 3.0%red 0.7%restricted 20.2%#d32ce6 1.1%blue 1.6%Rare 2.2%mil spec 33.3%#8847ff 21.4%best hit —