SzeliOficjalnie

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$8.00
Advertised RTP
89.02%
EV $7.12 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
9.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,316$3884.1%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,250$3684.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 952$2804.1%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 599$1774.1%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 585$1724.1%00.0—
AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 373$1104.1%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 351$1034.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 310$75.473.4%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 298$72.483.4%00.0—
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 240$58.573.4%00.0—
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 233$56.893.4%00.0—
M4A4 | Hellfire (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 231$56.493.4%00.0—
P250 | Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 185$45.083.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 185$45.023.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 128$31.103.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 128$31.103.4%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 127$31.073.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 78$19.003.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 78$18.943.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 74$18.063.4%00.0—
Nova | Antique (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 129$15.871.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 128$15.771.7%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 126$15.501.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 122$15.021.7%00.0—
AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 115$14.181.7%00.0—
MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 103$12.631.7%00.0—
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 101$12.431.7%00.0—
P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 85$10.451.7%00.0—
MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 83$10.171.7%00.0—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 81$10.021.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 68$8.341.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 66$8.111.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 51$8.092.2%00.0—
AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted10.9%$0.470.7%00.0—
Galil AR | Connexion (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff11.9%$0.430.7%00.0—
AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted12.8%$0.400.7%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff18.2%$0.280.7%00.0—
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec21.3%$0.240.7%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1293072, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$8.0089.02%38
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 6.5%extraordinary 0.5%classified 11.6%restricted 26.1%pink 0.8%Legendary 1.2%red 1.9%#8847ff 11.9%#4b69ff 18.2%mil spec 21.3%