Goldson
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$0.50
Advertised RTP
89.07%
EV $0.45 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.98%
426K openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 427K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/131, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.07%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.50 | 89.07% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.1%#d32ee6 0.4%pink 0.0%mil spec 0.7%restricted 14.0%Mythical 4.7%#4b69ff 23.8%superior 0.0%Legendary 0.2%#8847ff 1.1%violet 0.2%blue 0.4%milspec 5.6%Uncommon 4.0%#87c7ff 4.3%industrial 3.0%consumer 18.8%#777777 18.8%best hit —