OLIMP

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.87%
EV $8.89 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,887$4422.6%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,695$4022.7%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,176$2772.7%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 893$2112.7%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 637$1502.7%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 637$1502.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 538$1272.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 538$1262.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 481$1132.6%00.0—
USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 203$77.454.3%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 186$71.004.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 162$61.854.3%00.0—
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 148$56.444.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 104$39.574.3%00.0—
P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 77$29.374.3%00.0—
AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 73$27.844.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 69$26.184.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 60$22.914.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 58$22.184.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 56$21.374.3%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 56$20.694.1%00.0—
MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 49$17.894.1%00.0—
AWP | Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 39$14.214.1%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 39$14.164.1%00.0—
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 37$13.534.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 22$12.666.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 13$0.420.4%00.0—
P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 12$0.380.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 10$0.330.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec12.8%$0.250.4%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff31.5%$0.110.4%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1375951, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0088.87%31
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 6.4%extraordinary 0.3%classified 8.3%restricted 9.1%red 0.6%Legendary 2.6%pink 2.7%#8847ff 7.6%mil spec 21.2%blue 9.7%#4b69ff 31.5%