Price
$50.00
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $44.44 from 46 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.43%
3,058 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,063 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/138, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $50.00 | 88.88% | 46 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 25.3%classified 19.3%restricted 1.0%extraordinary 0.5%pink 0.6%#d32ee6 4.3%Classified 5.7%mil spec 14.2%industrial 5.1%#4b69ff 15.3%#8847ff 4.0%violet 4.6%best hit —