Silky Silk

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$30.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $26.67 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.31%
918 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90 openings · below min
7 days
91.74%±12.42718 openings
30 days
91.31%±11.02918 openings
since tracking started
91.31%±11.02918 openings
55.0%87.8%120.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9087.63%±32.2—odds
7d71891.74%±12.4+0.4σodds
30d91891.31%±11.0+0.4σodds
All91891.31%±11.0+0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 956 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 1,538$5151.3%20.6—
AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,333$4451.3%00.7—
AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,111$3681.2%10.9—
AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,031$3441.3%00.9—
AWP | Oni Taiji (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 901$2981.2%11.10.94×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 885$2931.2%31.12.78×
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 341$2392.6%12.80.36×
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 332$2322.6%02.90.00×
AWP | Silk Tiger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 258$1812.6%03.70.00×
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 224$1572.6%54.31.17×
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 200$1402.6%54.81.04×
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 184$1292.6%65.21.15×
AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 179$1262.6%75.31.31×
Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 179$1252.6%05.40.00×
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 177$1242.6%45.40.74×
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 166$1162.6%75.81.22×
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 100$96.183.6%89.60.83×
P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 99$95.773.6%159.61.56×
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 96$92.553.6%1010.01.00×
M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 94$90.483.6%1310.21.27×
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 93$89.763.6%810.30.78×
Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 91$87.753.6%1010.50.95×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 14$54.6514.5%6067.80.89×
USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 10$39.8314.5%9393.01.00×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient10.4%$37.3714.5%9699.10.97×
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec61.2%$0.421.0%601585.11.03×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/145, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
9 Nov, 21:11 UTC$30.0088.91%26
2 Nov, 21:40 UTC$30.0088.95%26
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedepic 0.1%#d32ee6 1.0%covert 21.0%classified 1.5%#eb4b4b 0.1%pink 0.4%restricted 1.7%mil spec 63.9%Ancient 10.4%best hit $577 (19.23x)