Price
$30.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $26.67 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.31%
918 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 956 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/145, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $30.00 | 88.91% | 26 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $30.00 | 88.95% | 26 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.1%#d32ee6 1.0%covert 21.0%classified 1.5%#eb4b4b 0.1%pink 0.4%restricted 1.7%mil spec 63.9%Ancient 10.4%best hit $577 (19.23x)