RezReel
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$2.50
Advertised RTP
88.98%
EV $2.22 from 43 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.08%
14K openings, odds method
Variance
6.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1460059, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.98% | 43 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 3.1%covert 0.4%Covert 0.0%classified 9.7%covert knife 0.1%gold 0.1%pink 1.6%restricted 13.0%#8847ff 7.9%Legendary 3.6%violet 7.3%#d32ee6 2.8%mil spec 11.5%#4b69ff 23.3%Rare 15.7%best hit $307 (122.9x)