Beach Breaker

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $22.20 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
4.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 4,762$1,5721.5%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,846$1,2761.5%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,333$1,1071.5%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 2,174$7221.5%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,724$5731.5%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,205$4031.5%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,111$3721.5%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 893$2971.5%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 806$2681.5%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 380$2282.7%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 300$1802.7%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 262$1572.7%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 256$1542.7%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 256$1532.7%00.0—
AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 219$1322.7%00.0—
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 138$82.552.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 132$79.212.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 126$75.452.7%00.0—
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 122$73.282.7%00.0—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 118$71.042.7%00.0—
AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 109$65.132.7%00.0—
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)weapon · Restricted1 in 100$60.272.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 84$50.392.7%00.0—
AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 84$50.292.7%00.0—
P250 | Digital Architect (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 47$48.004.6%00.0—
AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 42$43.074.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 38$38.954.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 37$37.824.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 37$37.494.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 33$34.014.6%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 32$32.834.6%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 32$32.514.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 26$26.314.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 186$21.710.5%00.0—
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 118$13.770.5%00.0—
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 69$8.000.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 39$4.580.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 31$3.600.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 30$3.550.5%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical11.7%$1.000.5%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff16.2%$0.720.5%00.0—
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted23.6%$0.550.6%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1490424, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$25.0088.82%42
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 13.6%extraordinary 0.8%#ffd700 0.1%industrial 0.7%Ancient 0.8%classified 8.2%Restricted 1.0%#8847ff 18.3%restricted 28.9%red 6.8%pink 2.5%Legendary 6.5%Mythical 11.7%