Pyramid Curse

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$28.00
Advertised RTP
88.86%
EV $24.88 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$2,5661.4%00.0—
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 5,882$2,0781.4%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 4,545$1,6321.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 2,857$1,0031.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 1,887$6651.4%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,408$5001.4%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 952$3381.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 943$3361.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 935$3311.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 321$2943.7%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 303$2783.7%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 231$2123.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 230$2113.7%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · sunny1 in 187$1713.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 161$1473.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 129$1183.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$91.823.7%00.0—
USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 85$77.593.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 72$66.223.7%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 71$65.493.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 71$65.463.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 52$60.534.7%00.0—
AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 47$55.484.7%00.0—
P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 43$50.724.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 39$45.524.7%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 35$41.214.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 31$36.524.7%00.0—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 27$31.094.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 26$30.874.7%00.0—
AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 26$30.824.7%00.0—
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 48$0.770.1%00.0—
FAMAS | Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 39$0.620.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 34$0.540.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 27$0.430.1%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 16$0.260.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 13$0.210.1%00.0—
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec11.4%$0.140.1%00.0—
MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff12.3%$0.130.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff14.5%$0.110.1%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1521207, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$28.0088.86%39
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 12.2%gold 0.5%extraordinary 0.4%classified 10.5%#ffd700 0.3%sunny 0.5%restricted 6.9%#eb4b4b 1.9%#d32ee6 2.6%Legendary 3.8%mil spec 13.5%#4b69ff 37.0%#8847ff 3.7%Rare 6.2%