VIEFORIT

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price

$40.00

Advertised RTP

88.90%

EV $35.56 from 37 items

Observed RTP, 30d

103.57%

381 openings, odds method

Variance

3.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

10.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

61.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

30 openings · below min

7 days

106.16%±20.69331 openings

30 days

103.57%±19.29381 openings

since tracking started

103.57%±19.29381 openings

-0.5%63.5%127.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	30	34.45%±68.7	—	odds
7d	331	106.16%±20.7	+1.6σ	odds
30d	381	103.57%±19.3	+1.5σ	odds
All	381	103.57%±19.3	+1.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 381 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,326	$1,332	1.6%	0	0.2	—
★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,128	$1,211	1.6%	1	0.2	—
AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 1,695	$958	1.6%	0	0.2	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,587	$911	1.6%	0	0.2	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,220	$690	1.6%	0	0.3	—
AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 980	$559	1.6%	2	0.4	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 840	$478	1.6%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 246	$307	3.5%	0	1.6	0.00×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 203	$253	3.5%	1	1.9	0.53×
★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 196	$245	3.5%	4	1.9	2.06×
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 168	$209	3.5%	5	2.3	2.20×
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 161	$201	3.5%	4	2.4	1.69×
Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 152	$190	3.5%	6	2.5	2.40×
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 121	$151	3.5%	2	3.1	0.64×
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 118	$147	3.5%	5	3.2	1.55×
★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 107	$134	3.5%	4	3.5	1.13×
★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 103	$128	3.5%	3	3.7	0.81×
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 86	$108	3.5%	5	4.4	1.13×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 66	$82.95	3.5%	5	5.7	0.87×
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 41	$74.68	5.1%	6	9.3	0.65×
M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 39	$71.08	5.1%	6	9.7	0.62×
M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 37	$66.47	5.1%	10	10.4	0.96×
AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · Legendary	1 in 36	$66.20	5.1%	6	10.5	0.57×
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 35	$63.09	5.1%	8	11.0	0.73×
★ Falchion Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 33	$60.79	5.1%	17	11.4	1.49×
AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 29	$51.87	5.1%	8	13.3	0.60×
AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 25	$45.72	5.1%	24	15.1	1.59×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 22	$40.35	5.1%	19	17.2	1.11×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 58	$1.62	0.1%	4	6.5	0.61×
P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 54	$1.50	0.1%	5	7.1	0.71×
P90 \| Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 50	$1.40	0.1%	7	7.6	0.93×
AWP \| Acheron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 29	$0.81	0.1%	12	13.1	0.92×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 20	$0.55	0.1%	13	19.2	0.68×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 13	$0.36	0.1%	37	29.4	1.26×
XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	12.6%	$0.22	0.1%	55	48.1	1.14×
Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	13.2%	$0.21	0.1%	35	50.4	0.69×
MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	14.1%	$0.20	0.1%	61	53.5	1.14×

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1528257, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$40.00$1,21130.26x4d

AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert$40.00$55913.97x1d

AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert$40.00$55913.97x4d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspectype shittttt$40.00$0.200.01x1h

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffJesse Pinkman$40.00$0.220.01x1h

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$40.00$0.200.01x2h

P90 | Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil SpecRadZioxS 33$40.00$1.400.03x2h

P90 | Chopper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847fftype shittttt$40.00$1.500.04x2h

P90 | Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec$40.00$1.400.03x2h

Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$40.00$40.351.01x2h

M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.00$66.471.66x2h

Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69fftype shittttt$40.00$0.360.01x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC	$40.00	88.90%	37

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 14.2%gold 0.1%extraordinary 0.6%Covert 0.4%classified 7.8%red 2.4%restricted 2.6%Legendary 2.7%#ffd700 3.0%Ancient 4.5%Mythical 1.7%#8847ff 1.9%Mil Spec 2.0%milspec 17.5%mil spec 5.1%#4b69ff 33.6%best hit $1,211 (30.26x)