Savanna Dominion

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.81%
EV $8.88 from 44 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 11,111$1,0191.0%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 9,091$8021.0%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 7,143$6491.0%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 4,762$4221.0%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 2,941$2651.0%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 2,564$2321.0%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 1,887$1701.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,408$1281.0%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,282$1161.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,235$1121.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,111$1011.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 162$78.955.5%00.0—
USP-S | Caiman (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 125$60.755.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 108$52.645.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 77$37.355.5%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 68$32.955.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 56$27.185.5%00.0—
AWP | Atheris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 46$22.445.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 45$21.995.5%00.0—
M4A4 | The Emperor (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 41$20.345.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 35$17.455.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 28$13.765.6%00.0—
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 27$13.675.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 23$11.265.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 22$11.175.6%00.0—
P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 21$10.255.6%00.0—
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 183$8.260.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient1 in 178$8.020.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 177$7.970.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 117$5.270.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 112$5.050.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 62$2.790.5%00.0—
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 49$2.220.5%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 25$1.140.5%00.0—
AUG | Aristocrat (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 24$1.100.5%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 20$0.910.5%00.0—
MP9 | Bioleak (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 82$0.400.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 51$0.250.1%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 51$0.250.1%00.0—
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 25$0.120.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 12$0.060.1%00.0—
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 12$0.060.1%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 12$0.060.1%00.0—
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 12$0.060.1%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1528335, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0088.81%44
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.1%#ffd700 0.0%covert 17.1%covert knife 0.0%classified 8.3%restricted 2.2%Legendary 2.9%Ancient 4.2%#8847ff 8.5%pink 4.5%Mythical 10.5%milspec 9.3%#4b69ff 22.3%Rare 10.1%