Silent Grove

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$6.00
Advertised RTP
89.05%
EV $5.34 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 8,333$6041.4%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 7,143$5321.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 5,556$4141.4%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 4,167$3091.4%00.0—
AWP | Graphite (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 3,333$2461.4%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,786$1311.4%00.0—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 1,587$1161.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 1,163$85.611.4%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,042$76.461.4%00.0—
AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 990$72.591.4%00.0—
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 962$70.841.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 203$54.165.0%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 152$40.605.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Cerberus (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 147$39.105.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 77$20.605.0%00.0—
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 56$14.895.0%00.0—
MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 54$14.455.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Remote Control (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 52$13.825.0%00.0—
P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 51$13.605.0%00.0—
AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 49$13.185.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 27$11.177.7%00.0—
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 20$8.267.7%00.0—
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 20$8.047.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient1 in 19$8.027.7%00.0—
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 19$7.667.7%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 67$0.610.2%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 42$0.380.2%00.0—
Tec-9 | Brother (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 34$0.310.2%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.250.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 18$0.160.2%00.0—
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff15.8%$0.060.2%00.0—
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff15.2%$0.060.2%00.0—
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff15.2%$0.060.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1528416, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$6.0089.05%33
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 7.9%gold 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%classified 13.4%Ancient 5.2%restricted 2.2%#8847ff 1.3%pink 9.1%violet 5.3%Rare 3.6%mil spec 5.7%#4b69ff 46.2%