Freakazoid
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$11.00
Advertised RTP
88.93%
EV $9.78 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.77%
2,218 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,220 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1534807, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $11.00 | 88.93% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.5%restricted 0.0%covert knife 0.0%classified 14.0%extraordinary 0.7%Covert 0.8%red 1.2%Ancient 1.3%mil spec 4.1%Legendary 4.3%Rare 20.6%milspec 31.3%#4b69ff 18.3%best hit $600 (54.57x)