Misa
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$7.50
Advertised RTP
88.93%
EV $6.67 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.12%
8,518 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,554 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1538578, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $7.50 | 88.93% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.2%#ffd700 0.4%classified 15.4%restricted 0.7%Ancient 0.8%extraordinary 0.9%pink 0.9%mil spec 7.2%#d32ee6 1.5%Rare 3.3%#d32ce6 4.1%#4b69ff 59.4%violet 3.2%best hit —