Abyssal Crown

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$34.00
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $30.20 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 9,091$3,1661.2%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 7,692$2,5571.1%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 5,882$1,9101.1%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 5,263$1,7881.1%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 3,030$1,0111.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 2,326$7731.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,190$3971.1%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,176$3911.1%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,149$3851.1%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 139$3468.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 94$2368.3%00.0—
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Battle-Scarred)gloves · Extraordinary1 in 67$1678.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 41$1028.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 35$87.448.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 32$79.138.3%00.0—
AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 35$70.136.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Hellfire (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 32$64.906.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 25$50.346.7%00.0—
MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 19$38.656.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 19$37.936.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 19$37.616.7%00.0—
AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 36$0.650.1%00.0—
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 18$0.320.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Off World (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 12$0.210.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff16.4%$0.110.1%00.0—
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff28.6%$0.070.1%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1544192, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$34.0088.83%26
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 15.5%legendary 0.0%restricted 6.0%Extraordinary 1.5%classified 17.8%Mythical 5.6%milspec 8.6%#4b69ff 45.0%