IGL MOUZ

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
89.25%
EV $17.85 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 50,000$4,6820.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 25,000$2,6980.6%00.0—
AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$6860.6%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 8,333$6300.4%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 3,226$2610.5%00.0—
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 405$2403.3%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 2,564$2300.5%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 326$1532.6%00.0—
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 322$1472.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 286$1462.9%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 373$1322.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 284$1272.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 221$91.202.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 53$86.179.1%00.0—
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 11$78.0741.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 181$69.862.2%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 182$67.712.1%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 137$66.262.7%00.0—
AWP | Atheris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 24$59.3113.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 42$51.306.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 45$1.590.2%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 19$0.470.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff12.1%$0.190.1%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff27.1%$0.160.2%00.0—
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec31.3%$0.130.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1547290, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$20.0089.25%25
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.9%classified 9.4%covert 4.9%gold 0.0%red 0.8%restricted 6.0%#8847ff 7.5%#4b69ff 39.2%milspec 31.3%