SECOND ENTRY MOUZ

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$14.00
Advertised RTP
88.81%
EV $12.43 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1,6181.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 6,667$9581.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 3,846$5581.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 3,125$4621.2%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,562$2281.2%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,515$2201.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,190$1741.2%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,075$1561.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 990$1451.2%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 909$1331.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 877$1281.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 71$97.5111.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 53$73.1211.1%00.0—
AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 41$56.6411.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 25$33.8711.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 22$28.4310.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 18$23.0110.4%00.0—
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 16$20.5310.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 15$19.2910.4%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 41$0.650.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 17$0.300.1%00.0—
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff21.1%$0.260.4%00.0—
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff18.1%$0.230.3%00.0—
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff19.1%$0.170.3%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1547409, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$14.0088.81%24
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 3.9%Ancient 0.0%classified 12.2%pink 4.5%violet 6.3%Legendary 6.7%restricted 2.4%#4b69ff 64.0%