Charm
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1.85
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $1.64 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.58%
38.3K openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1567618, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.85 | 88.91% | 33 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.85 | 88.85% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 0.5%#eb4b4b 2.0%rare 4.1%Legendary 8.6%#8847ff 19.8%uncommon 34.5%#d32ce6 1.3%#4b69ff 10.0%Rare 19.3%best hit —