Sticker
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$0.90
Advertised RTP
89.04%
EV $0.80 from 51 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.10%
59.4K openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 59.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1568455, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.04%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.90 | 89.04% | 51 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#eb4b4b 2.2%extraordinary 4.2%#8847ff 10.1%#d32ce6 18.5%blue 9.9%common 3.9%#4b69ff 45.2%milspec 2.1%pink 2.5%violet 1.5%best hit —