Gold Hustle

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
88.87%
EV $13.33 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 12,500$1,4490.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1,3340.9%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 10,000$1,1990.9%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd7001 in 7,692$8860.9%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 5,882$6930.9%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 3,333$3950.9%00.0—
AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 1,471$1730.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,449$1710.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 1,449$1700.9%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,408$1670.9%00.0—
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)weapon · red1 in 1,333$1580.9%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 133$1176.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 126$1106.6%00.0—
★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 104$91.136.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 70$61.586.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 43$37.806.6%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 40$35.196.6%00.0—
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 39$34.406.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 36$31.486.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 34$27.816.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink1 in 28$23.096.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 25$20.276.2%00.0—
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 22$18.246.2%00.0—
M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 22$18.226.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 21$16.976.2%00.0—
SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mythical1 in 31$0.690.2%00.0—
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 20$0.450.2%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 11$0.240.2%00.0—
MP5-SD | Statics (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff20.0%$0.110.2%00.0—
XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff23.9%$0.100.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1584146, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$15.0088.87%30
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 8.5%rare 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%extraordinary 1.0%Ancient 0.1%classified 11.2%red 0.1%restricted 9.6%pink 8.4%Mythical 8.1%#4b69ff 53.1%