White Heat

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $22.21 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$2,5571.2%00.0—
★ Karambit | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 7,692$1,8871.1%00.0—
★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 6,250$1,5211.1%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 4,348$1,0801.1%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,778$6931.1%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,961$4921.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,220$3071.1%00.0—
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 1,205$3021.1%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,176$2931.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 1,053$2621.1%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 149$2347.1%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 113$1777.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 71$1117.1%00.0—
AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 70$1107.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 40$62.257.1%00.0—
AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 38$59.767.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 37$58.567.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 41$50.905.5%00.0—
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 38$46.315.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 32$39.385.5%00.0—
USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 30$37.205.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 23$27.795.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Guardian (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 23$27.725.5%00.0—
AUG | Lil' Pig (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 21$25.975.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 33$0.770.1%00.0—
Galil AR | Control (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 22$0.510.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 10$0.240.1%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec21.3%$0.110.1%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff23.5%$0.100.1%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1584157, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$25.0088.84%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 22.5%extraordinary 0.1%gold 0.1%classified 4.5%rare 1.4%pink 9.2%Rare 3.0%restricted 4.6%#4b69ff 33.3%milspec 21.3%