Kosior
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$2.80
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $2.49 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.26%
38.5K openings, odds method
Variance
5.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1585429, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.80 | 89.00% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedImmortal 0.0%Covert 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.2%covert 0.3%mil spec 25.7%Mythical 0.6%blue 0.8%classified 5.7%#d32ce6 6.8%restricted 3.5%#8847ff 16.1%#4b69ff 19.4%#87c7ff 21.0%best hit $181 (64.62x)