Feinzy

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.89%
EV $3.56 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.76%
6,425 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
92.29%±14.55700 openings
7 days
86.36%±5.275,335 openings
30 days
87.76%±4.806,425 openings
since tracking started
87.76%±4.806,425 openings
77.0%92.3%107.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h70092.29%±14.5+0.5σodds
7d5,33586.36%±5.27−0.9σodds
30d6,42587.76%±4.80−0.5σodds
All6,42587.76%±4.80−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,433 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 5,882$1960.9%01.10.00×
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$1920.9%01.10.00×
★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 5,000$1701.0%01.30.00×
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 4,545$1530.9%31.42.12×
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 4,348$1430.9%51.53.38×
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 3,125$1050.9%22.10.97×
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 3,125$1040.9%22.10.97×
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 2,273$76.300.9%12.80.35×
★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd7001 in 2,041$67.690.9%03.20.00×
AWP | Electric Hive (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 187$31.484.7%3634.41.05×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 163$27.374.7%3839.50.96×
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 122$20.434.7%5352.91.00×
P250 | Muertos (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ce61 in 95$16.014.7%6667.50.98×
Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 82$13.734.7%9078.71.14×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 56$9.354.7%97115.60.84×
CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 54$9.024.7%105119.80.88×
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 53$8.864.7%146122.01.20×
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 29$8.428.3%241225.01.07×
M4A4 | Polysoup (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 24$7.028.3%267269.90.99×
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce61 in 22$6.468.3%264293.30.90×
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 20$5.758.3%329329.51.00×
UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 19$5.548.3%340342.00.99×
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 16$4.758.3%403398.81.01×
P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 20$0.570.8%301327.30.92×
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 18$0.520.8%330358.80.92×
R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 11$0.330.8%578565.31.02×
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff13.2%$0.220.8%853847.91.01×
Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)weapon · blue28.4%$0.100.8%1,8831828.31.03×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1585432, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.89%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$4.0088.89%28
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 0.0%classified 6.9%Immortal 0.0%covert 0.1%red 0.1%#ffd700 0.0%#d32ce6 5.6%restricted 1.9%Legendary 8.8%violet 14.9%pink 5.1%Mythical 6.2%blue 37.2%#4b69ff 13.2%best hit —