Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.89%
EV $3.56 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.76%
6,425 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,433 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1585432, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.89% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.0%classified 6.9%Immortal 0.0%covert 0.1%red 0.1%#ffd700 0.0%#d32ce6 5.6%restricted 1.9%Legendary 8.8%violet 14.9%pink 5.1%Mythical 6.2%blue 37.2%#4b69ff 13.2%best hit —