xSpeedy
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$7.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $6.22 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.44%
5,423 openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,430 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1585434, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $7.00 | 88.91% | 26 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 9.3%sunny 0.0%covert knife 0.0%covert 2.4%rare 7.1%classified 12.6%mil spec 0.8%Mythical 1.0%pink 3.7%#d32ee6 5.2%#8847ff 5.4%Rare 4.2%violet 6.6%milspec 7.3%#4b69ff 34.3%best hit —