Skins Rush

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$9.00
Advertised RTP
88.87%
EV $8.00 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
7.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 19
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 2,439$5132.6%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,471$3132.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,370$2902.6%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,205$2562.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,163$2482.7%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 917$1952.7%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 893$1902.7%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 446$94.682.7%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 275$82.583.7%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 248$74.313.8%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 194$58.153.8%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 187$56.143.7%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 175$52.603.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 172$51.573.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 132$39.453.7%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 126$37.883.8%00.0—
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 121$36.263.7%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 68$20.483.8%00.0—
AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33$16.976.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Night (Field-Tested)weapon · light blue1 in 32$16.176.4%00.0—
AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 32$16.136.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 27$13.856.4%00.0—
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 27$13.606.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 19$9.886.4%00.0—
G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 223$7.430.4%00.0—
AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 71$2.350.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Crossfade (Well-Worn)weapon · common1 in 68$2.270.4%00.0—
AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 45$1.500.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 40$1.320.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Decommissioned (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 36$1.200.4%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #77777715.8%$0.240.5%00.0—
MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear)weapon · #77777743.9%$0.030.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635096, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$9.0088.87%32
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedred 0.0%covert 1.2%classified 8.3%gold 0.9%extraordinary 0.9%restricted 12.4%#8847ff 1.5%light blue 3.1%industrial 3.7%Mythical 1.4%common 1.5%#4b69ff 2.5%mil spec 2.8%#777777 59.7%