Tent Builder

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$55.00
Advertised RTP
89.10%
EV $49.00 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 3,226$4,1822.6%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,587$2,0452.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 752$9682.6%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 725$9342.6%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 704$9072.6%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 694$8932.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 680$8732.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 654$8382.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 538$6912.6%00.0—
AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 535$6862.6%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 410$5252.6%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 375$3812.1%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 357$3632.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 313$3172.1%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 291$2952.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 269$2732.1%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 258$2612.1%00.0—
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 254$2582.1%00.0—
P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 210$2132.1%00.0—
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 198$2012.1%00.0—
MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 180$1822.1%00.0—
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 178$1802.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 170$1732.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 156$1582.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 78$1423.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 113$1152.1%00.0—
P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 105$1072.1%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 56$1033.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 55$1013.7%00.0—
AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 96$97.512.1%00.0—
MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 49$88.853.7%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 48$87.083.7%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 47$86.723.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 44$81.173.7%00.0—
MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 282$65.480.5%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 34$62.273.7%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 34$61.453.7%00.0—
P2000 | Woodsman (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 148$34.200.5%00.0—
USP-S | Blueprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 142$32.810.5%00.0—
MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 127$29.400.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 108$25.000.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 75$17.480.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 66$15.350.5%00.0—
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 50$11.650.5%00.0—
Nova | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 50$11.470.5%00.0—
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer10.2%$0.480.1%00.0—
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer10.2%$0.120.0%00.0—
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer16.4%$0.050.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer10.2%$0.050.0%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Contractor (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer13.2%$0.040.0%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635103, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$55.0089.10%50
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 13.3%extraordinary 0.1%rare 0.1%restricted 6.0%classified 3.0%sunny 0.9%mil spec 5.0%#4b69ff 0.6%#eb4b4b 1.3%covert knife 4.8%industrial 1.0%violet 0.7%Legendary 0.9%#d32ee6 2.0%consumer 60.3%