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UMP-45 Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$34.20
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.12%
159 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
19 openings · below min
7 days
138 openings · below min
30 days
159 openings · below min
since tracking started
159 openings · below min
3.5%73.8%144.0%

Small sample. 159 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1973.88%±69.7—sample
7d13887.51%±29.5—sample
30d15997.12%±29.4—sample
All15997.12%±29.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogG4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$30.80$0.610.02x
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffAndrew$30.80$0.480.02x
UMP-45 | Indigo (Field-Tested)weapon · #777777$30.80$2.040.07x
UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847fftwitch.tv/kosior_777$30.80$1484.81x
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested)weapon · 3$30.80$1.550.05x
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)weapon · restricted$30.80$2.120.07x
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restrictedhvjson666$30.80$1.660.05x
UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specnesTy$30.80$6.120.20x
UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$30.80$0.430.01x
UMP-45 | Day Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$30.80$78.352.54x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —