Ocean
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$115.00
Advertised RTP
88.85%
EV $102.18 from 73 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.09%
421 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values73 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 421 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635181, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $115 | 88.85% | 73 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 23.5%#ffd700 2.2%legendary 0.7%sunny 1.7%gold 1.1%Covert 0.5%classified 3.2%red 2.6%mil spec 2.2%restricted 2.4%Mythical 1.0%#eb4b4b 2.9%Uncommon 55.9%best hit $2,340 (20.35x)