Beefy Beast

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$7.00
Advertised RTP
89.21%
EV $6.24 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
8.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 20,000$9990.8%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 16,667$8920.9%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 12,500$6600.8%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 10,000$5000.8%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 9,091$4730.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 7,692$4040.8%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 7,692$3860.8%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 6,667$3400.8%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 5,882$3100.8%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 4,000$2100.8%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 3,846$1980.8%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Field-Tested)gloves · Extraordinary1 in 3,704$1940.8%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,030$1590.8%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 2,941$1540.8%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 2,857$1510.8%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 2,500$1310.8%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,273$1180.8%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,695$88.910.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,667$87.010.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 144$50.735.6%00.0—
P250 | Muertos (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 105$36.895.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 84$29.495.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 70$24.695.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 67$23.395.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 65$22.765.6%00.0—
P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 52$18.245.6%00.0—
SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 17$13.9513.3%00.0—
SG 553 | Candy Apple (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade10.5%$7.9513.3%00.0—
SG 553 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial10.9%$7.6813.3%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 89$4.440.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 58$2.920.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 34$1.700.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 32$1.590.8%00.0—
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 22$0.520.4%00.0—
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 14$0.230.3%00.0—
Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon1 in 13$0.200.2%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial12.3%$0.150.3%00.0—
Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 18$0.150.1%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff17.3%$0.090.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635196, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$7.0089.21%39
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrare 0.0%covert 1.0%extraordinary 0.1%Extraordinary 0.0%classified 7.1%Legendary 1.4%industrial 46.1%Industrial Grade 10.5%mil spec 6.0%Rare 2.9%Uncommon 7.5%#87c7ff 17.3%