Doner Delight

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$100.00
Advertised RTP
89.12%
EV $89.12 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 2,941$6,5982.5%00.0—
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 2,703$6,0202.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,639$3,6242.5%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,316$2,9262.5%00.0—
AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 893$1,9782.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 781$1,7432.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 413$9182.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 336$7472.5%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 253$5612.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 111$4774.8%00.0—
AWP | Oni Taiji (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 110$4704.8%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 104$4484.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 94$4044.8%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 91$3884.8%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 55$2364.8%00.0—
P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 51$2204.8%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 31$1655.9%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 30$1595.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 28$1485.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 25$1325.9%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 24$1275.9%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 21$1145.9%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 21$1105.9%00.0—
AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 407$96.620.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 356$84.410.3%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 350$83.150.3%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 346$82.310.3%00.0—
AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 299$71.060.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 187$44.350.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 26$6.090.3%00.0—
P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 25$5.860.3%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$0.770.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff14.5%$0.280.0%00.0—
AWP | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial29.7%$0.270.1%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635198, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10089.12%34
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 25.8%legendary 0.1%Covert 0.1%sunny 1.1%extraordinary 8.3%classified 8.4%restricted 11.9%#4b69ff 14.5%industrial 29.7%