Pastel Flora

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.97%
EV $3.56 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
7.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 28
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$2760.9%00.0—
USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 7,692$2370.9%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 4,545$1440.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 4,545$1420.9%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 3,846$1190.9%00.0—
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 3,125$98.370.9%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 3,125$97.800.9%00.0—
AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 3,030$95.510.9%00.0—
USP-S | Serum (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 313$61.415.5%00.0—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 289$56.755.5%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 286$56.195.5%00.0—
AWP | POP AWP (Factory New)weapon · Restricted1 in 279$54.755.5%00.0—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified1 in 222$43.525.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 218$42.915.5%00.0—
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 204$40.135.5%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 524$29.861.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 483$27.621.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 481$27.461.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 417$23.841.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 408$23.321.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 402$22.931.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 394$22.521.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 392$22.401.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 340$19.431.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 340$19.421.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 313$17.851.6%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 285$16.301.6%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 278$15.871.6%00.0—
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 241$13.781.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 240$13.721.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 239$13.681.6%00.0—
FAMAS | Pulse (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 216$12.341.6%00.0—
P2000 | Turf (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 207$11.861.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 198$11.341.6%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 188$10.751.6%00.0—
P250 | Contamination (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 170$9.701.6%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 60$7.193.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 59$7.033.4%00.0—
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 41$4.923.4%00.0—
MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 39$4.633.4%00.0—
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 36$4.363.4%00.0—
MP7 | Special Delivery (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 513$2.850.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 350$1.940.2%00.0—
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 328$1.820.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 119$0.660.2%00.0—
P250 | Ripple (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 92$0.510.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 95$0.450.1%00.0—
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$0.330.4%00.0—
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial25.3%$0.171.2%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mudder (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial45.6%$0.101.3%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635216, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$4.0088.97%50
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 12.9%covert 0.5%Restricted 0.4%Classified 0.5%Legendary 0.5%Mythical 0.5%violet 0.4%restricted 0.7%Rare 0.5%industrial 71.4%mil spec 6.0%pink 2.8%#4b69ff 3.0%