Riviera Sip

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
89.13%
EV $17.83 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 4,348$6910.9%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 3,226$5060.9%00.0—
AWP | Oni Taiji (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 2,703$4180.9%00.0—
M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 2,500$3930.9%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 1,961$3080.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,639$2550.9%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 1,538$2420.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 239$2004.7%00.0—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 207$1734.7%00.0—
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 172$1434.7%00.0—
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 145$1214.7%00.0—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 139$1174.7%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 135$1134.7%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 125$1044.7%00.0—
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 122$1024.7%00.0—
P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 118$98.434.7%00.0—
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 115$95.744.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 113$94.634.7%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 101$84.734.7%00.0—
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 61$67.576.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 55$55.015.6%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 51$43.024.8%00.0—
FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 45$38.344.8%00.0—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 24$20.624.8%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 24$20.054.8%00.0—
MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 20$6.671.9%00.0—
MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 18$6.211.9%00.0—
SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 18$5.921.9%00.0—
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff17.7%$0.720.7%00.0—
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec20.8%$0.140.2%00.0—
MP7 | Astrolabe (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d920.1%$0.140.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635243, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$20.0089.13%31
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedepic 0.0%covert 14.6%covert knife 0.1%gold 1.1%red 0.4%classified 21.0%restricted 4.2%#4b69ff 17.7%milspec 20.8%#5e98d9 20.1%