Jungle Fury

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$0.35
Advertised RTP
88.90%
EV $0.31 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.00%
167K openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
91.12%±3.9220.9K openings
7 days
89.11%±1.50138K openings
30 days
89.00%±1.36167K openings
since tracking started
89.00%±1.36167K openings
86.5%91.0%95.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h20.9K91.12%±3.92+1.1σodds
7d138K89.11%±1.50+0.3σodds
30d167K89.00%±1.36+0.2σodds
All167K89.00%±1.36+0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 168K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 50,000$1050.7%23.40.60×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 50,000$1040.7%23.40.60×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 33,333$55.510.5%35.00.60×
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 25,000$52.890.7%56.70.75×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 20,000$39.990.6%108.41.19×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 14,286$28.380.6%1111.70.94×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 10,000$18.800.6%1116.80.66×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 10,000$18.620.6%1816.81.07×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 6,250$11.960.6%926.80.34×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 4,348$8.120.6%3338.60.86×
USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,500$4.720.6%4867.10.72×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 2,381$4.500.6%6870.40.97×
USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,326$4.320.6%7072.10.97×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 2,000$3.740.6%92083.910.97×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 1,923$3.620.6%7387.20.84×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 1,923$3.600.6%6687.20.76×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 207$3.505.4%113811.80.14×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 203$3.445.4%129825.20.16×
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 195$3.305.4%112860.40.13×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 191$3.235.4%875878.81.00×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 95$1.605.4%2,0371774.51.15×
P90 | Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 66$1.125.4%2,4182534.20.95×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 52$0.885.4%3,6813226.91.14×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)weapon · 31 in 65$0.693.4%3,5432566.11.38×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 54$0.573.4%2,4613106.20.79×
Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 45$0.473.4%3,1503767.00.84×
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 44$0.463.4%2,9563849.20.77×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 42$0.443.4%3,1074023.60.77×
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 39$0.413.4%3,9924317.10.92×
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 39$0.413.4%3,8874317.10.90×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 33$0.353.4%4,6335058.40.92×
P90 | Grim (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 33$0.353.4%4,3245058.40.85×
P90 | Grim (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 76$0.341.4%4,4972207.22.04×
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d91 in 65$0.291.4%4,3952582.91.70×
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d91 in 34$0.151.4%9,1344993.01.83×
PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 31$0.141.4%9,3115350.21.74×
P90 | Wash me (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d91 in 31$0.141.4%6,1255350.21.14×
P90 | Wash me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d91 in 29$0.131.4%12,7575761.12.21×
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon1 in 29$0.131.4%5,7965761.11.01×
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon1 in 22$0.101.4%5,9157490.30.79×
USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 20$0.091.4%3,5668322.20.43×
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d91 in 18$0.081.4%6,2179363.80.66×
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d91 in 16$0.071.4%18,14410700.51.70×
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d91 in 16$0.071.4%9,69910700.50.91×
P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d91 in 16$0.071.4%6,31910700.50.59×
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d91 in 13$0.061.4%9,61412483.30.77×
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d911.0%$0.041.4%13,46318371.90.73×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635255, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 05:19 UTC$0.3588.90%47
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$0.3588.89%47
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 1.5%mil spec 3.1%Mythical 1.1%covert 0.0%Legendary 0.0%pink 1.1%#d32ee6 0.0%#8847ff 4.6%restricted 0.6%milspec 0.1%Mil Spec 1.5%#4b69ff 6.3%violet 7.4%Rare 2.4%#5e98d9 54.3%#87c7ff 3.2%Uncommon 7.9%industrial 5.0%best hit $149 (426.5x)