Price
$0.35
Advertised RTP
88.90%
EV $0.31 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.00%
167K openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 168K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635255, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $0.35 | 88.90% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.35 | 88.89% | 47 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 1.5%mil spec 3.1%Mythical 1.1%covert 0.0%Legendary 0.0%pink 1.1%#d32ee6 0.0%#8847ff 4.6%restricted 0.6%milspec 0.1%Mil Spec 1.5%#4b69ff 6.3%violet 7.4%Rare 2.4%#5e98d9 54.3%#87c7ff 3.2%Uncommon 7.9%industrial 5.0%best hit $149 (426.5x)