Fatal Vision
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$0.45
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $0.40 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.88%
197K openings, odds method
Variance
3.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 198K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635256, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.45 | 88.88% | 63 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedred 0.0%restricted 2.4%pink 0.0%Legendary 0.5%mil spec 0.0%Classified 0.0%Rare 2.6%#d32ce6 0.5%#8847ff 14.0%#4b69ff 41.9%violet 0.7%blue 1.1%#87c7ff 22.2%#5e98d9 14.0%best hit $74.23 (165.0x)