Korcze
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$2.20
Advertised RTP
88.86%
EV $1.95 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.01%
22.5K openings, odds method
Variance
7.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635259, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.86%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.20 | 88.86% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%restricted 6.2%classified 0.1%gold 0.1%mil spec 1.0%red 0.1%blue 5.8%#777777 64.9%Rare 3.4%uncommon 0.8%pink 3.2%#4b69ff 7.3%Mythical 4.3%Mil Spec Grade 2.8%best hit $207 (94.14x)