Danoco

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $0.89 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.87%
28.3K openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
89.42%±9.314,394 openings
7 days
91.60%±4.0822.9K openings
30 days
91.87%±3.6728.3K openings
since tracking started
91.87%±3.6728.3K openings
79.5%89.5%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4,39489.42%±9.31+0.1σodds
7d22.9K91.60%±4.08+1.2σodds
30d28.3K91.87%±3.67+1.5σodds
All28.3K91.87%±3.67+1.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AUG | Chameleon (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 9,091$1031.3%53.11.60×
FAMAS | Sundown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 9,091$1011.2%23.10.64×
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 6,250$70.821.3%54.51.10×
Galil AR | CAUTION! (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 5,556$60.091.2%45.10.78×
★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 5,000$53.811.2%25.70.35×
★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 4,762$52.871.2%125.92.02×
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 4,762$52.371.2%55.90.84×
★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 4,545$49.351.2%66.20.96×
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 4,000$43.551.2%127.11.69×
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 3,448$38.381.3%108.21.22×
AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 2,222$24.611.2%1912.71.49×
AWP | Corticera (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ce61 in 2,083$23.111.2%2013.61.47×
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,695$18.581.2%1216.70.72×
AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 1,515$16.561.2%2018.71.07×
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 1,250$13.771.2%2122.70.93×
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,235$13.521.2%2322.91.00×
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 1,220$13.381.2%2923.21.25×
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 1,205$13.331.2%2823.51.19×
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 633$9.081.6%4544.81.01×
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 613$8.791.6%4946.21.06×
Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 568$8.131.6%5749.91.14×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 510$7.281.6%4555.50.81×
M4A4 | Griffin (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 481$6.861.6%6258.91.05×
Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer1 in 463$6.621.6%5861.20.95×
M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 450$6.451.6%5662.90.89×
Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · #7777771 in 422$6.021.6%6467.10.95×
Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Well-Worn)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 418$5.971.6%7967.71.17×
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 395$5.651.6%6571.70.91×
AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon1 in 385$5.491.6%8473.61.14×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 329$4.711.6%9586.11.10×
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 307$4.381.6%9392.31.01×
Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 267$3.821.6%107105.91.01×
AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 255$3.651.6%107111.00.96×
AWP | Black Nile (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 246$3.511.6%115115.31.00×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 235$3.361.6%127120.41.06×
M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 226$3.231.6%131125.51.04×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 215$3.071.6%112132.00.85×
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 210$3.001.6%169135.11.25×
AWP | Black Nile (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 207$2.961.6%158136.81.15×
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 203$2.901.6%127139.60.91×
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 192$2.741.6%167147.91.13×
FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 178$2.551.6%156158.90.98×
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 169$2.411.6%178168.01.06×
FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 164$2.341.6%170173.10.98×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 152$2.171.6%164186.70.88×
MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 58$2.003.9%483490.30.99×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 57$1.983.9%512495.41.03×
MAC-10 | Derailment (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 55$1.913.9%474513.50.92×
Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 54$1.883.9%505521.70.97×
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 51$1.783.9%547550.90.99×
Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 40$1.383.9%667710.60.94×
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 34$1.183.9%840831.01.01×
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 29$1.013.9%994970.91.02×
MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested)weapon · #77777771.4%$0.043.2%20,22720236.61.00×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635261, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$1.0089.00%54
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%milspec 2.5%covert knife 0.0%restricted 6.9%classified 0.3%extraordinary 0.0%#d32ce6 0.0%#4b69ff 3.5%Legendary 0.1%mil spec 1.3%blue 1.0%consumer 0.2%#777777 71.7%Consumer Grade 0.2%Uncommon 0.3%Mythical 0.4%Rare 0.5%Mil Spec Grade 2.4%#8847ff 7.0%violet 1.7%best hit $103 (103.1x)