Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $0.89 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.87%
28.3K openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635261, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 89.00% | 54 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%milspec 2.5%covert knife 0.0%restricted 6.9%classified 0.3%extraordinary 0.0%#d32ce6 0.0%#4b69ff 3.5%Legendary 0.1%mil spec 1.3%blue 1.0%consumer 0.2%#777777 71.7%Consumer Grade 0.2%Uncommon 0.3%Mythical 0.4%Rare 0.5%Mil Spec Grade 2.4%#8847ff 7.0%violet 1.7%best hit $103 (103.1x)