Sims Cat
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1.50
Advertised RTP
88.96%
EV $1.33 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.95%
31.5K openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 31.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635262, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.50 | 88.96% | 41 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.50 | 88.98% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%covert 0.1%uncommon 0.1%red 0.1%classified 0.8%Legendary 1.8%Classified 0.9%pink 2.2%restricted 15.3%#8847ff 9.7%Rare 3.7%violet 0.9%#4b69ff 36.3%Mythical 1.7%industrial 5.6%common 10.5%light blue 10.2%best hit $158 (105.0x)