Final Whistle

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$60.00
Advertised RTP
88.59%
EV $53.15 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
10.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$7,2156.8%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000$1,4052.6%00.0—
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$1,2912.4%00.0—
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$1,1592.2%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 667$7882.2%00.0—
SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 252$5504.1%00.0—
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2015sticker · remarkable1 in 202$4424.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 183$4014.1%00.0—
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 172$3744.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 123$2674.1%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 122$2664.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 117$2554.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 99$2164.1%00.0—
USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 91$1984.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 78$1714.1%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 75$1634.1%00.0—
MP9 | Stained Glass (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 31$1579.5%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 20$1029.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 13$65.619.5%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 12$60.729.5%00.0—
Sticker | The Baitersticker · #4b69ff22.5%$0.840.4%00.0—
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff20.5%$0.810.3%00.0—
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade23.2%$0.230.1%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635284, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$60.0088.59%23
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 26.3%extraordinary 0.3%classified 2.8%remarkable 0.5%pink 0.8%restricted 3.2%#4b69ff 22.5%#8847ff 20.5%High Grade 23.2%