Parade Rhythms
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$0.75
Advertised RTP
88.92%
EV $0.67 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.08%
109K openings, odds method
Variance
8.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 109K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635294, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.75 | 88.92% | 29 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.2%extraordinary 0.1%covert knife 0.0%gold 0.0%sunny 0.0%classified 0.3%industrial 0.1%mil spec 3.9%restricted 5.7%#8847ff 10.4%#4b69ff 0.8%Rare 4.2%consumer 70.3%best hit $54.47 (72.63x)