Victory Beats
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$2.50
Advertised RTP
88.85%
EV $2.22 from 59 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.51%
13K openings, odds method
Variance
12.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 21
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635297, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.85% | 59 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%Classified 0.0%gold 0.0%restricted 9.0%covert 0.2%Covert 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%covert knife 0.1%mil spec 11.4%#87c7ff 0.2%industrial 3.2%#4b69ff 10.4%classified 0.4%pink 0.5%Mythical 1.1%consumer 0.6%Mil Spec Grade 0.6%#777777 1.4%#8847ff 2.9%Industrial Grade 0.5%Common 0.6%violet 0.6%milspec 5.7%#b0c3d9 50.3%best hit $201 (80.48x)