Dubai Oasis

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $1.78 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
7.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 21
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 4,545$1271.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 4,545$1241.5%00.0—
AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 3,226$88.491.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 2,941$82.431.6%00.0—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,857$78.821.6%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,754$48.531.6%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,370$38.301.6%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 1,351$37.771.6%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,250$34.571.6%00.0—
MP7 | Asterion (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 272$21.754.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 263$21.074.5%00.0—
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 249$19.954.5%00.0—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 178$14.274.5%00.0—
AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 175$13.994.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 159$12.734.5%00.0—
USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 154$12.344.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 149$11.964.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 106$8.474.5%00.0—
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 96$7.694.5%00.0—
AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 75$3.882.9%00.0—
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 69$3.552.9%00.0—
USP-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 63$3.272.9%00.0—
Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 63$3.262.9%00.0—
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 51$2.632.9%00.0—
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 50$2.562.9%00.0—
P90 | Module (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 47$2.412.9%00.0—
SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 45$2.332.9%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 42$2.162.9%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 39$2.012.9%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 115$1.720.8%00.0—
P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 109$1.640.8%00.0—
P90 | Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 107$1.610.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 93$1.390.8%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 74$1.261.0%00.0—
P90 | Module (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 73$1.100.8%00.0—
UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 73$1.090.8%00.0—
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 32$0.480.8%00.0—
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 20$0.330.9%00.0—
USP-S | Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 17$0.260.8%00.0—
M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon10.2%$0.160.9%00.0—
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial11.8%$0.151.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer30.4%$0.081.4%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635313, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$2.0088.82%42
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.2%industrial 11.8%classified 5.5%#eb4b4b 0.1%consumer 30.8%#d32ee6 0.4%Rare 0.6%Mythical 2.6%violet 3.6%restricted 11.0%mil spec 18.8%#8847ff 2.6%Legendary 0.9%Mil Spec 0.9%Uncommon 10.2%