NYC Hustle

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.97%
EV $3.56 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 9,091$4491.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$3191.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 4,348$2131.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Orion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 4,167$2041.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 1,852$92.831.4%00.0—
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,299$65.191.4%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 1,235$61.651.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 943$47.341.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 877$43.851.4%00.0—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 840$42.091.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 704$39.671.6%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 690$38.951.6%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 662$37.291.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 645$36.511.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 613$34.731.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 495$27.911.6%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 450$25.441.6%00.0—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 361$20.391.6%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 277$15.641.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 275$15.521.6%00.0—
AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 247$13.931.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 234$13.191.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 229$12.961.6%00.0—
AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 229$12.941.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 185$10.441.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 154$8.681.6%00.0—
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 146$8.241.6%00.0—
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 51$7.083.9%00.0—
MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 45$6.263.9%00.0—
MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 44$6.183.9%00.0—
AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 40$5.573.9%00.0—
AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 37$5.153.9%00.0—
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 34$4.833.9%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 33$4.613.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 32$4.423.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 29$4.133.9%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 29$4.093.9%00.0—
AWP | Atheris (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 69$3.711.5%00.0—
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 65$3.481.5%00.0—
AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 64$3.431.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 56$3.001.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 55$2.981.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 48$2.601.5%00.0—
AUG | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 39$2.081.5%00.0—
P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 30$1.601.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 24$1.301.5%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 23$1.261.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 15$0.831.5%00.0—
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial16.3%$0.331.5%00.0—
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff18.6%$0.291.5%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635315, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$4.0088.97%50
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.5%Legendary 1.1%#d32ee6 0.5%#eb4b4b 0.1%classified 12.2%mil spec 0.1%restricted 22.3%extraordinary 0.1%Mil Spec 0.5%pink 2.0%violet 6.1%#8847ff 5.6%Rare 8.1%#4b69ff 2.6%Mythical 3.4%industrial 16.3%#87c7ff 18.6%