Achroma
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$0.80
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $0.71 from 60 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.63%
58K openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values60 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 58.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635318, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.80 | 88.88% | 60 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 0.0%pink 0.5%Mythical 4.1%#8847ff 6.3%violet 4.0%#4b69ff 22.3%Rare 9.0%milspec 5.5%Uncommon 5.7%#5e98d9 3.5%Common 6.0%blueLight 0.5%consumer 0.6%industrial 1.5%#b0c3d9 30.5%best hit $59.83 (74.79x)