Dr Boom Charms

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$1.70
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $1.51 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.61%
26.2K openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
86.10%±10.693,317 openings
7 days
87.93%±4.3922.7K openings
30 days
87.61%±4.1026.2K openings
since tracking started
87.61%±4.1026.2K openings
75.0%86.3%97.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,31786.10%±10.7−0.5σodds
7d22.7K87.93%±4.39−0.4σodds
30d26.2K87.61%±4.10−0.6σodds
All26.2K87.61%±4.10−0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Charm | Butane Buddycharm · Ancient1 in 855$1269.7%2030.90.65×
Charm | 8 Ball IGLcharm · Ancient1 in 253$37.309.8%101104.30.97×
Charm | Lil' Fernocharm · #eb4b4b1 in 104$15.299.7%214254.30.84×
Charm | Glitter Bombcharm · red1 in 93$13.729.7%229283.30.81×
Charm | Lil' Yeticharm · #d32ce61 in 29$4.229.7%676921.20.73×
Charm | Lil' Ecocharm · #d32ce61 in 24$3.599.7%1,1731082.81.08×
Charm | Hungry Eyescharm · Legendary1 in 20$2.969.7%1,1971313.30.91×
Charm | Eye of Ballcharm · #d32ce61 in 20$2.959.7%1,1251317.80.85×
Charm | Flash Bombcharm · #d32ce61 in 19$2.829.7%1,2781378.60.93×
Charm | Lil' Bloodycharm · violet1 in 65$0.920.9%432408.71.06×
Charm | Lil' Dumplin'charm · #8847ff1 in 45$0.640.9%651587.01.11×
Charm | Dr. Briancharm · #8847ff1 in 41$0.590.9%690636.91.08×
Charm | Bomb Tagcharm · Mythical1 in 40$0.570.9%740659.01.12×
Charm | Big Braincharm · #8847ff1 in 39$0.550.9%859683.11.26×
Charm | Lil' Chompercharm · #8847ff1 in 36$0.510.9%954736.71.30×
Charm | Lil' Faceliftcharm · #8847ff1 in 32$0.460.9%1,112816.71.36×
Charm | Lil' Zencharm · #4b69ff1 in 22$0.320.9%1,3681174.21.17×
Charm | Splatter Catcharm · blue1 in 14$0.200.9%1,8811878.61.00×
Charm | Whittle Guycharm · #4b69ff10.9%$0.130.9%3,2522890.21.13×
Charm | Fluffycharm · #4b69ff10.9%$0.130.9%3,0162890.21.04×
Charm | Biomechcharm · #4b69ff10.9%$0.130.9%2,6762890.20.93×
Charm | Grittycharm · #4b69ff13.1%$0.111.0%2,7603466.10.80×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635330, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.84%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
9 Nov, 21:11 UTC$1.7088.84%22
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$1.7088.88%22
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedAncient 0.5%#eb4b4b 1.0%red 1.1%#d32ce6 17.8%Legendary 5.0%violet 1.5%#8847ff 13.1%Mythical 2.5%#4b69ff 50.4%blue 7.1%best hit $159 (93.69x)