Price
$1.70
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $1.51 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.61%
26.2K openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635330, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.84%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $1.70 | 88.84% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.70 | 88.88% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 0.5%#eb4b4b 1.0%red 1.1%#d32ce6 17.8%Legendary 5.0%violet 1.5%#8847ff 13.1%Mythical 2.5%#4b69ff 50.4%blue 7.1%best hit $159 (93.69x)