SNIPER MOUZ
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$8.00
Advertised RTP
89.13%
EV $7.13 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.44%
4,756 openings, odds method
Variance
9.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,776 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635426, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.13%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $8.00 | 89.13% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 5.1%covert 0.4%classified 6.3%covert knife 0.5%red 3.3%#ffd700 1.1%superior 0.7%#4b69ff 24.6%pink 4.4%Legendary 1.9%Rare 2.0%#87c7ff 2.4%#8847ff 5.6%blue 5.6%#5e98d9 9.7%industrial 26.3%best hit $516 (64.46x)